U.S. equity markets are eyeing a strong finish this week, lifted by easing Treasury yields and a sharp pullback in inflation data. Thursday’s Producer Price Index (PPI) came in well below expectations, falling -0.5% in April versus a forecasted +0.2% rise. While this gave the bulls some breathing room, there’s growing concern that inflationary pressures could re-emerge later in the year.

Adding to those worries, Walmart announced price increases to offset rising tariff costs—becoming the largest retailer yet to flag inflation-driven pricing shifts. However, investors were disappointed that the retail giant stuck with its cautious full-year growth forecast due to ongoing uncertainty in trade policy. Other major companies have echoed similar concerns, signaling more widespread pricing adjustments on the horizon.

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🔍 Retail Earnings in Focus

The spotlight now shifts to a key slate of retail earnings next week:

  • Tuesday: Home Depot, Palo Alto Networks, Toll Brothers

  • Wednesday: Lowe’s, Target, TJX Companies, Urban Outfitters, Medtronic, Snowflake, Zoom

  • Thursday: BJ’s Wholesale Club, Deckers Outdoor, Ross Stores, Analog Devices, Intuit

  • Friday: The Buckle

Analysts will be watching closely for insights into consumer behavior and inflation-related pricing strategies. Any unexpected warnings or upbeat outlooks could spark notable market moves.

📉 Light Economic Calendar Ahead of Memorial Day

Next week’s macroeconomic data is limited, with only Existing Home Sales on Thursday and New Home Sales on Friday. With Memorial Day approaching on Monday, May 26, trading volume may begin to taper off by midweek—potentially leading to thinner markets and elevated volatility.

🌐 Trade Deal Hopes Still Alive

Meanwhile, investors continue to monitor the geopolitical landscape for signs of progress on trade agreements. White House officials have hinted that new deals could be announced following President Trump’s return from the Middle East. Such developments could reignite momentum across risk assets.

✅ Weekly Performance Recap: S&P 500 & Commodities

Our dual-strategy approach—combining S&P 500 futures day trading and commodity swing trades—remains focused on disciplined execution and asymmetric reward opportunities. Below is our performance snapshot for the week:

📊 S&P 500 Futures Day Trades

Date Entry Exit P/L (USD)
5/12 5837 5850.75 +687.5
5/14 5903.75 5910 +312.5
5/14 5903.75 5908 +212.5
5/15 5889.75 5897.5 -387.5
5/15 5891 5902.25 -562.5

🌾 Wheat Futures Swing Trade

Date Contract Entry Exit P/L (USD)
5/12 W (Wheat Futures) 527 512 -750

While our wheat futures position ended in a small loss, our strict money management and risk control protocols kept overall exposure in check.

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Wishing you a great week!

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